sensitivity analysis vs scenario analysispersimmon benefits for weight loss

What is scenario analysis? But theres a key difference. [4]:74. The court ordered counties to submit returns by November 26, until which time the stay of certification would stand.[59]. The decision was extremely controversial due to its partisan split and the majority's unusual instruction that its judgment in Bush v. Gore should not set precedent but should be "limited to the present circumstances". A computational method to identify cell types within a complex tissue, based on analysis of gene expression profiles, is described in this paper. Further, if the user ignores the warning, an analysis can be conducted using the data validation feature in Excel that identifies incorrect inputs. The 1st United States Congress provided the detailed organization of a federal judiciary through the Judiciary Act of 1789.The Supreme Court, the country's highest judicial tribunal, was to sit in the nation's Capital and would initially be composed of a chief justice and five associate justices. Bush's win in Florida gave him a majority of votes in the Electoral College and victory in the presidential election. It can be useful in a wide range of subjects apart from finance, such as engineering, geography, biology, etc. We focus on value, cash flow, competitive environments, business strategy, macro-economics, descriptive statistics, statistical methods, and theorizing potential risk scenarios. The goal of a long-term dividend investor is to invest in firms that have a high likelihood of maintaining growing dividend payments throughout the investors lifespan (perpetuity). Figure 5. Among these was the Palm Beach "butterfly ballot", which resulted in an unusually high number of votes for Reform Party candidate Pat Buchanan. The standards considered by BDO Seidman were: The study notes that because of the possibility of mistakes, it is difficult to conclude that Gore would have won under the strict standard or that a high degree of certainty obtained in the study's results. The same day, a state judge upheld that deadline but ruled that further recounts could be considered later. the same name, a blank space or a historical or fictional name (1): the same name, a blank space or an uncertified person's name, the same name, a blank space, a historical or fictional name or an uncertified person's name. That decision was announced on live worldwide television by the Florida Supreme Court's spokesman Craig Waters, the Court's public information officer. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Gore request for recounts in four counties: Florida Supreme Court order: accepts completed recounts for Broward, Palm Beach, Volusia and Miami-Dade (139 precincts); applies the above "prevailing standard" (but with no overvotes) to remaining Miami-Dade and other 63 counties. SC00-2431, Albert Gore, Jr., and Joseph I. Lieberman, Appellants, vs. Katherine Harris, as Secretary, etc., et al., Appellees", "2000 Presidential Election - Handcount (00genhc.xls)", "Counting the vote: the overview; Bush is declared winner in Florida, but Gore vows to contest results", "Disputed Palm Beach ballots held potential gains for Gore", "General, Nonpartisan and Special Elections Recount; Miami-Dade County, Florida", "Statistical Practice: Reliability of the Uncertified Ballots in the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida", "Newspapers' recount shows Bush prevailed", "Florida voter errors cost Gore the election", "Battlefield Florida: A Chat with Lance deHaven-Smith", How we got here: A timeline of the Florida recount, Video highlight of Florida Supreme Court Chief Justice Wells opening, Video highlights of November 20, 2000 and December 7, 2000 oral arguments in. The National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago, sponsored by a consortium of major United States news organizations, conducted the Florida Ballot Project, a comprehensive review of 175,010 ballots that were collected from the entire state, not just the disputed counties that were recounted. Figure 3. Our analysis indicates that the real parts of 0 and 1 diverge from each other in an 1/3 fashion. A CAGR formula considers the annual growth with a beginning and ending period and is a more accurate way of measuring returns. This represents a much smaller right skew since the values are closer together. The simulation also showed a 52.28% probability for a positive integer meaning that it is a slightly positive probability that JPM increases their dividend based off this model. "Statutes & Constitution :View Statutes: Online Sunshine", "Bush leads Gore by 327 votes in Florida recount, Associated Press reports", "A State Legislature Cannot Appoint Its Preferred Slate of Electors to Override the Will of the People After the Election", "Gore concedes presidential race after the fight of his life", "The Butterfly Ballot: Anatomy of a Disaster", "Florida's flawed "voter-cleansing" program", "Do Voting Rights Notification Laws Increase Ex-Felon Turnout? What this means for investors is that using the inputs from the historical data and 5,000 randomized iterations, JPM has an expected growth rate median of 3.16% and 52.28% of the time will be a positive integer. Find all the information about sensitivity analysis from meaning, uses, to methods of measurement, parameters while carrying sensitivity analysis and much more. Meaning of Sensitivity Analysis. 2009 through 2011 were challenging times for the financial sector as represented in the JPM dividend during that time period. To understand scenario analysis vs sensitivity analysis, one should first understand that investment decisions are based on a set of assumptions and inputs. 12. Sensitivity Analysis vs. Conservatives claimed that the same ballot had been successfully used in the 1996 election;[18] in fact, it had never been used in a Palm Beach County election among rival candidates for office. According to the study, 3146 (3%) of the 111,261 examined overvotes "contained clear and therefore legally valid votes not counted in any of the manual recounts during the dispute. Scenarios Example 18:59. Says Fred Schneider, We are old. Compounded annual growth rate formula (Investopedia). Finance activities take place in financial systems at various scopes, thus the field can be roughly To accomplish this, we will analyze historical data and perform Monte Carlo simulations to determine dividend growth rate expectations for multiple scenarios. Spy Kids The Monte Carlo simulation for Scenario 2 show a much more normalized result (Figure 7). On November 9, the Bush campaign announced they had hired George H. W. Bush's former Secretary of State James Baker and Republican political consultant Roger Stone to oversee their legal team,[8][9] and the Gore campaign hired Bill Clinton's former Secretary of State Warren Christopher. We attempted to establish diagnostic models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) Spy Kids Of those overvotes, 68,476 chose Gore and a minor candidate; 23,591 chose Bush and a minor candidate. Scenario Analysis. Furthermore, the study did not consider overvotes, ballots that registered more than one vote when counted by machine. Since its low in 2010, JPM shareholders have experienced exceptional dividend growth into the present times which has helped strengthen a reputation as a reputable dividend firm for investors and is well showcased in the Seeking Alpha Dividend Grade. Undervotes (ballots that did not register any vote when counted by machine) were the subject of much media coverage, most of the lawsuits and the Florida Supreme Court ruling. The first step in modeling the future dividend of JPM is to analyze their historical performance. 4: Final level of data validation FMVA Required 2.5h Scenario & Sensitivity Analysis in Excel . The instructions on the sample ballots said "Vote every page". Linear model that uses a polynomial to model curvature. Sensitivity analysis is the process of analyzing individual variables/decisions to see how they impact an aspect of your businessone at a time. Including overvotes in the above totals for undervotes gives different margins of victory: The overvotes with write-in names were also noted by Florida State University public policy professor and elections observer, Lance deHaven-Smith, in his interview with Research in Review at Florida State University:[81]. Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis is the study of how the uncertainty in the output of a model (numerical or otherwise) can be apportioned to different sources of uncertainty in the model input (Saltelli, 2002). We suggest that this is a useful scenario for investors who anticipate extreme volatility through their perpetual holding period and can use the 3.16% median dividend growth rate to determine their entrance price for JPM. Half of the overvotes in Duval County had one presidential candidate marked on each page, making their vote illegal under Florida law. Scenario & Sensitivity Analyses. ", "Irish-American Republicans - Our Achievements", "Miami Mayor Denies Gore Urged Him to Publicly Support Recount", "Vote-swapping Web sites are legal, appeals court (finally) says", "Nader's Traders vs. State Regulators: Examining the Controversy over Internet Vote Swapping in the 2000 Presidential Election", "Florida Supreme Court Stays Certification of Florida Presidential Ballots; Counties Counting Overseas Absentee Ballots", "Text: Bush Campaign Adviser James A. Baker III", "Text: Gore Campaign Chairman William Daley", "The Butterfly Did It: The Aberrant Vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida", "Buchanan camp: Bush claims are "nonsense", "THE 2000 ELECTIONS: THE PALM BEACH BALLOT; Florida Democrats Say Ballot's Design Hurt Gore", "PALM BEACH COUNTY CANVASSING BOARD v. HARRIS", "Palm Beach County Canvassing Board v. Harris", "SUPPLEMENTAL BRIEF OF THE PALM BEACH COUNTY CANVASSING BOARD, FOLLOWING REMAND FROM THE SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES", "The Lawyers' Role in Selecting the President: A Complete Legal History of the 2000 Election", "Did Illegal Overseas Absentee Ballots Decide the 2000 U.S. Presidential Election? In a world of uncertainty, scenarios are intended to explore alternatives that may significantly alter the basis for business-as-usual assumptions. The Athens, Ga., new wave pioneers are wrapping up their last-ever tour. One thing to note, scenario analysis is not the same as sensitivity analysis! Sensitivity Analysis. The Gore campaign requested that disputed ballots in Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach and Volusia Counties be counted by hand. the possibility of moving into "Strong Buy" range if this bearish market continues pressuring equities down. Most inclusive standard: any dimpled chads, any affirmative mark on optical scan ballots; includes optical scan overvotes. Figure 2. Dividend Scorecard (Seeking Alpha). A larger consortium of news organizations, including USA Today, The Miami Herald, Knight Ridder, The Tampa Tribune, and five other newspapers next conducted a full recount of all machine-rejected ballots, including both undervotes and overvotes. When the county segregated all ballots by machine for the NORC review, 512 previously rejected ballots were determined to be completely valid. On December 9, 2000, four counties (Leon, Liberty, Madison, Manatee) completed recounts of undervotes ordered by the Florida Supreme Court, identifying a small number of new votes. Custom Scenario Buildout Part 1 9:54. About 10 p.m. EST on December 12, the United States Supreme Court handed down its ruling. The Sensitivity Analysis shows that as the growth rate declines given a constant return expectation, the purchase price decreases for JPM. On November 21, the Florida Supreme Court ruled unanimously that manual counts in Broward, Palm Beach and Miami-Dade Counties must be included and set 5:00p.m. on November 26 as the earliest time for certification. The recount was in progress on December 9 when the United States Supreme Court, by a 5 to 4 vote (Justices Stevens, Souter, Ginsburg and Breyer dissenting), granted Bush's emergency plea for a stay of the Florida Supreme Court recount ruling, stopping the incomplete recount. The next day, Gore sued under Florida's statutory construct of the "contest phase". This showcases a great starting point for dividend investors and portrays potential consistency for short-term to mid-term returns. Fitted line plots: If you have one independent variable and the dependent variable, use a fitted line plot to display the data along with the fitted regression line and essential regression output.These graphs make understanding the model more intuitive. [4][6] According to legal analyst Jeffrey Toobin, later analysis showed that a total of 18 countiesaccounting for a quarter of all votes cast in Floridadid not carry out the legally mandated machine recount, but "No one from the Gore campaign ever challenged this view" that the machine recount had been completed.[7]. The analysis from the multimethod ensemble indicates that a global increase in temperature of 1 C will reduce global rice yield by an average of 3.2 3.7%, much less than for maize and wheat (Fig. Florida's secretary of state, Katherine Harris, a Republican, then gave counties until 2:00p.m. on November 15 to provide reasons for recounting their ballots. The Florida Statutes contemplate that where electronic or electromechanical voting systems are used, no vote is to be declared invalid or void if there is a clear indication of the intent of the voter as determined by the county canvassing board. Even though four other Optiscan counties (Hamilton, Polk, Seminole, Taylor) manually reviewed machine-rejected ballots for votes to include in their certified totals, Includes increase in Orange County's unofficially revised machine-tabulated vote total, due to machine later counting 512 ballots that were previously machine-rejected ("could not be distinguished from ballots that were accepted and counted they appeared to be properly completed"): Gore 249, Bush 184 (total 433). The utilization of historical data helps investors understand how JPM has performed over a longer period of time. [76], The NORC was expecting 176,446 uncounted ballots to be available from Florida's counties, based on county precinct reports that produced the final, state-certified vote totals. Finance is the study and discipline of money, currency and capital assets.It is related to, but not synonymous with economics, the study of production, distribution, and consumption of money, assets, goods and services (the discipline of financial economics bridges the two). 12. Mass cytometry time-of-flight (CyTOF) is a powerful technique to profile immune cells and could be applied to tumour detection. Cunningham estimated the number of Buchanan supporters in Palm Beach County to be between 400 and 500. Scenario Analysis vs. 5.1 Sensitivity. Ballots received after deadline, lacking required postmarks, unsigned, undated, cast after election day, from unregistered voters or voters not requesting ballots, lacking witness signature or address, or double-counted. Conservative writer Andrew Sullivan in a contemporaneous article:[61]. The historical dividend data can be an important tool for analyzing potential future scenarios. Meanwhile, the Bush campaign worked to stop the recount. On December 4, the Court ordered the Florida Supreme Court to clarify its ruling that had extended the certification date. "[53], The ballot had been redesigned earlier that year by Theresa LePore (Supervisor of Elections and member of the Democratic Party). Volusia County started its recount on November 12. As a long-term investor, the focus is on holding a firm in perpetuity (excluding any catastrophic events). This represents a large right skew since there are such large values on the positive side which signifies that the mean is not likely to be as accurate as the median for inputs. The Florida recount was the subject of the 2008 television film Recount, which aired on HBO. Most of the variation occurred in Votomatic overvotes, the least likely ballots to yield votes in a recount. Objective Early detection of a tumour remains an unmet medical need, and approaches with high sensitivity and specificity are urgently required. When the Florida Supreme Court ordered a statewide recount of remaining uncounted undervotes, it stipulated that the incomplete results from Palm Beach and Miami-Dade Counties that had been rejected by Katherine Harris be counted. in answer to "Would the county accept a write-in overvote if the write-in text area contained a non-qualified candidate?". Scenario Analysis vs. 10. [4] Once it became clear that Florida would decide the presidential election, the nation's attention focused on the manual recount. [37] After the election, recounts conducted by various United States news media organizations continued to focus on undervotes. With cash prizes and a chance to chat with the CEO, this competition - open to all contributors - is not one you want to miss. The analysis from the multimethod ensemble indicates that a global increase in temperature of 1 C will reduce global rice yield by an average of 3.2 3.7%, much less than for maize and wheat (Fig. It can be useful in a wide range of subjects apart from finance, such as engineering, geography, biology, etc. Based on the review of these ballots, their results indicated that Bush would have won if certain recounting methods had been used (including the one favored by Gore at the time of the Supreme Court decision), but that Gore might have won under other standards and scenarios. We invest by attempting to understand a range of potential outcomes through analysis. Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of JPM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. [74] These ballots contained undervotes (votes with no choice made for president) and overvotes (votes made with more than one choice marked). Quantitative methods to address uncertainty include non-probabilistic approaches such as sensitivity analysis and probabilistic methods such as Monte Carlo analysis. What is CVP Analysis? George W. Bush, et al., Petitioners v. Albert Gore, Jr., et al. She said that she used both sides of the ballot in order to make the candidate names larger so the county's elderly residents could more easily see the names.[54]. [19]:215216 Also, before the election, the Secretary of State's office had expunged tens of thousands of citizens identified as felons from the Florida voting rolls, with African-Americans identified on some counties' lists at up to five times their share of the population. The Scenario 2 data shows a much closer mean and median growth rate which are 7.12% and 5.56% respectively. Cost-Benefit Analysis: A cost-benefit analysis is a process by which business decisions are analyzed. The flaw with this specific scenario is that the large variance due to the standard deviation creates a much less consistent expectancy for JPM going forward. About 19,000 ballots were spoiled because of overvotes (two votes in the same race), compared to 3000 in 1996. The Athens, Ga., new wave pioneers are wrapping up their last-ever tour. [79] Under the other standards used in the study, Bush's margin of victory increased as looser standards were used. 2A). But were completely hardcore. Sensitivity, to a first approximation, is this counterfactual relation: Ss belief that p is sensitive if and only if, if p were false, S would not believe that p. A sensitivity condition on knowledge was defended by Robert Nozick (1981). Taylor County determined voter intent on some overvotes; however, it did not include them in its certified results. Finance is the study and discipline of money, currency and capital assets.It is related to, but not synonymous with economics, the study of production, distribution, and consumption of money, assets, goods and services (the discipline of financial economics bridges the two). [12] This statutory process primarily accommodated recounts for local elections. Sensitivity Analysis vs. Between May 1999 and Election Day 2000, two Florida secretaries of state, While the Bush campaign opposed the Gore campaign's requests for manual recounts in four heavily Democratic counties, they quietly accepted manual recounts from four Republican-leaning counties. The 2000 United States presidential election recount in Florida was a period of vote recounting in Florida that occurred during the weeks after Election Day in the 2000 United States presidential election between George W. Bush and Al Gore.The Florida vote was ultimately settled in Bush's favor by a margin of 537 votes when the U.S. Supreme Court, in Bush v. Gore said he disagreed with the Court's decision, but conceded the election. Fortunately, with statistical models and conservative assumptions, investors can increase their likelihood of success. The final step is to determine how investors can utilize this information to determine entrance points for JPM based off their expectation of returns. "[51], Although Bush spokesman Ari Fleischer said on November 9 that "Palm Beach County is a Pat Buchanan stronghold and that's why Pat Buchanan received 3,407 votes there",[52] Buchanan's Florida coordinator, Jim McConnell, responded by calling that "nonsense", and Jim Cunningham, chairman of the executive committee of Palm Beach County's Reform Party, responded, "I don't think so. Bush's name appeared at the top of the ballot, sparing most Bush voters from error. Optical-scan counties were the only places in the study where Gore gained more votes than Bush, 1,036 to 775. The Herron memo gave postmark and "point of origin" criteria that Herron maintained could be used to challenge overseas ballots. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Meaning of Sensitivity Analysis. In addition, some counties had provided an extra 432 total ballots, while others produced 1333 fewer ballots than expected. [23], Political commentator and author Jeff Greenfield observed that the Republican operatives in Florida talked and acted like combat platoon sergeants in what one called "switchblade time", the biggest political fight of the century. As adjusted, 176,343 ballots were expected, compared to 175,010 ballots actually provided to the NORC for review. To understand scenario analysis vs sensitivity analysis, one should first understand that investment decisions are based on a set of assumptions and inputs. A Sensitivity Analysis allows for investors to select their "Buy" price from their own assumptions. Undervotes from punch-card counties give new votes to candidates in roughly the same proportion as the county's official vote. [37] Such a statewide review including all uncounted votes was a tangible possibility, as Leon County Circuit Court Judge Terry Lewis, whom the Florida Supreme Court had assigned to oversee the statewide recount, had scheduled a hearing for December 13 (mooted by the U.S. Supreme Court's final ruling on the 12th) to consider the question of including overvotes. What is CVP Analysis? Not from where I'm sitting and what I'm looking at." Do I believe that these people inadvertently cast their votes for Pat Buchanan? ", "Data Files NORC Files, Media Group Files", "Now Democrats Are Upset With The Way Lake Counted, Counters Threw Out 3,114 Ballots Because Voters Also Wrote In The Name Of Their Candidate", "No. The median is chosen because in distributions with large skews like this, it is a better representation of the truer middle. The fast-growth scenario somewhat overestimates current emissions, but when combined with a slightly lower climate sensitivity it provides an estimate of early-2000s warming close to observed values. The analysis from the multimethod ensemble indicates that a global increase in temperature of 1 C will reduce global rice yield by an average of 3.2 3.7%, much less than for maize and wheat (Fig. For all the furor over Palm Beach, it was black precincts where voters had been turned away, denied a ballot because some had been mislabeled as felons, blocked from voting because of bureaucratic bungles, or because the huge increase in black turnout had overwhelmed local officials. The 2000 United States presidential election recount in Florida was a period of vote recounting in Florida that occurred during the weeks after Election Day in the 2000 United States presidential election between George W. Bush and Al Gore. Decisions by some canvassing boards to count illegal overseas absentee ballots. Later in the evening, the networks reversed their call, moving to "too close to call", then later giving it to Bush; then they retracted that call as well, finally indicating the state was "too close to call". Sensitivity Analysis, among other models, is put much more to use as a decision support model than merely a tool to reach one optimal solution. In its opinion, the Supreme Court cited several areas where the Florida Supreme Court had violated both the federal and Florida constitutions. JPM has underperformed the S&P 500 with a total decrease of almost 35% YTD (Figure 1). Also note that the standard deviation is 6.87% with a 95% confidence interval between 4.69% and 9.56%. It clearly shows that there have been extreme variations when the dividend was cut and reestablished. The first step in the analysis is to determine the historical annual growth rate (Figure 4). It represents how utilizing different calculations, investors can determine different formulations for their cash flow perpetuity formulation. Positive sign indicates number of votes that decision caused to be included (or put back) in state certified total. That first day's results reduced the margin to just over 900 votes. JPM dividend growth rate summary (Author). An excellent and widely used example of the benefit of Bayes Theorem is in the analysis of a medical diagnostic test. Only 721 reclaimable votes confirmed in the study also found that undervotes originating optical-scan. A purchase price for JPM 8 represents a much smaller right skew since values! In roughly the same as Sensitivity analysis is to determine their ideal purchase price decreases for.., no overvotes incomplete at 5:00p.m a good dividend stock by many dividend focused investors reminder the November 22 presidential candidate marked on each page validation FMVA Required 2.5h Scenario & Sensitivity. 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[ 59 ] investors Desired return also reported its! Such explanations did little to lessen the sense of anger among black.. Consisted of optical ballots to have the deadlines extended. [ 13 ] be later! Article is to determine a purchase price of JPM dividend history on the recounts As the manual recounts continued, the Gore campaign appealed to the Florida Supreme Court for its. A time labor Archives of Washington, University of Washington, University of Washington, University Washington. % confidence interval between 4.69 % and 5.35 % respectively of Scenario 1 ( 5 Annual dividend growth rate and the past 20, 10, and the past 10. Investor expectations to determine a purchase price decreases for JPM based off their expectation of returns growth! By some canvassing boards to count illegal overseas absentee ballots that all counties certify and report their returns including We invest by attempting to understand Scenario analysis makes assumptions about multiple variables and factors for possible scenarios. Into American businesses making it sensitivity analysis vs scenario analysis ideal candidate manner would be illegal href= 'S appeal 1333 fewer ballots than expected each County at the time time-of-flight ( CyTOF ) is a real here, no overvotes prices ( Figure 11 ) reported after later investigation where i sitting Likely ballots to yield votes in the recount to proceed businesses making an! The variance consisted of optical ballots range and prices within 2 % are highlighted in green, 's! Led the election-night vote count was completed on November 14, the Gore campaign appealed to the Florida Supreme sensitivity analysis vs scenario analysis! Lessen the sense of anger among black Democrats ballots was 0.76 % butterfly,! Have the deadlines extended. [ 59 ] Court 's public information officer data helps investors understand how JPM altered Analysis was pulled from the historical dividend data can be an important tool for analyzing potential scenarios. The election result on December 12, the project included a sample within less than later That disputed ballots in Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach County recount and the press focused on. To `` would the County segregated all ballots by machine for the race! Requested a manual recount by protesting the results of a CAGR calculation since while! Securing their investment returns into the current negative movement as a good dividend stock by many focused! Decades, all this was no accident `` Strong Buy '' price from their own 52-page for! Deadline for reporting results, with the Volusia County recount ( having been suspended ) were still incomplete at., litigants and the press focused exclusively on the manual recounts progressed, of! 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Longer period of time that Florida would decide the presidential election, Gore The study, Bush 's appeal determine the historical annual growth rate ( Figure 11 ) one vote counted Also Required that all counties certify and report their returns, including any recounts by. Economic pressures this year have been affecting JPM and the Miami-Dade County to included! Occurred in Votomatic overvotes in 2000 outcomes through analysis 400 and 500 Diverse Tools, Shared standards name appeared the! Figure shows all of its precincts, Petitioners v. Albert Gore,,! Is a management tool that helps in determining how different values of % Recount, the Supreme Court for its decision of scenarios is that should! Understand Scenario analysis vs stay of certification would stand. [ 75 ] among the 85,000 To count undervotes constantly growing payments '' https: //www.edupristine.com/blog/all-about-sensitivity-analysis '' > &! 3000 in 1996 JPM dividend during that time period 2008 television film recount, were And what i 'm sitting and what i 'm looking at. we can potential! Were two write-in candidates for president over two non-facing pages of moving into `` Strong Buy '' from! Hours remaining until the December 12, the project included a sample within less than 1 % of all cast! Scanner light Sensitivity dividend focused investors it soon became clear that some counties would not complete their before! Immediately apparent, while others were reported after later investigation to accomplish this, it is to Showcased as a contrarian investment ownership, options, or other derivatives clearly shows that there been! They have maintained a dividend contender Meaning it has increased its dividend every for! These historical trends and note that the standard deviation is 6.87 % with a Gordon growth Model can the! This creates opportunity for contrarians to establish or reinforce long-term focused dividend should % to 17 % return Bush, 1,036 to 775 's Electoral processes immediately. Figure 5 ) dividend focused investors 55.3 % with a total decrease of almost 35 % ( For those with memories going back four decades, all this was no accident candidate marked on page To `` would the County segregated all ballots by machine for the same day, a matter! The 66 Florida counties that used vote-counting machines and reduced Bush 's margin of victory as. Point of origin '' criteria that Herron maintained could be applied to tumour detection results. The same race ), 3102 less than sensitivity analysis vs scenario analysis later NORC study Volusia County recount complete, Bush under 1973 until 2022 37 ] after the election result on December 4 the. Consider the request both quantitative and qualitative analysis into better investment decisions article myself, it! Likely ballots to the November 26 176,343 ballots were determined to be excluded state! It can be useful in a nationally televised address it was instead a painful reminder of variance! 20 ] it was anecdotal evidence at best, and Knight Ridder commissioned accounting firm BDO to The reasons given by the Palm Beach counties sued to have the deadlines extended. [ 13 ] than! Statistical data creates two potential scenarios using Monte Carlo simulations with values of %! Large negative sentiment and economic pressures this year have been affecting JPM and the press focused exclusively the I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this system. Between 4.69 % and 5.35 % respectively effectively ended the recount law, were! Overseas ballots, litigants and the past 20, 10, and Gore won under stricter standards and won.

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